Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.171698 0.197250 0.226469 0.262608 0.306458 0.358393 0.425237
2025-04-13 0.129733 0.161518 0.201924 0.258100 0.335896 0.442527 0.604728
2025-04-20 0.107717 0.142229 0.189714 0.262051 0.373712 0.547446 0.856093
2025-04-27 0.093757 0.129622 0.182178 0.268511 0.414793 0.669958 1.196162
2025-05-04 0.083429 0.119730 0.175760 0.273874 0.454303 0.803833 1.637419
2025-05-11 0.075860 0.112430 0.171491 0.281010 0.498240 0.963774 2.251886
2025-05-18 0.069127 0.105253 0.165878 0.284012 0.534663 1.124454 3.012965
2025-05-25 0.063365 0.098761 0.160194 0.285320 0.567708 1.293835 3.987315
2025-06-01 0.058126 0.092425 0.153703 0.283451 0.592944 1.457063 5.161596
2025-06-08 0.053322 0.086244 0.146543 0.278614 0.609563 1.606163 6.524279
2025-06-15 0.050626 0.083504 0.145486 0.286759 0.662376 1.904912 9.295233
2025-06-22 0.046845 0.078340 0.138938 0.281060 0.675692 2.077259 11.772176
2025-06-29 0.044307 0.075316 0.136448 0.284859 0.719562 2.409332 16.769539
2025-07-06 0.041367 0.071235 0.131273 0.281151 0.739900 2.665607 22.442908
2025-07-13 0.039429 0.068920 0.129551 0.285952 0.790567 3.120310 34.016620
2025-07-20 0.037859 0.067175 0.128830 0.293297 0.853951 3.724188 55.584961
2025-07-27 0.036331 0.065357 0.127706 0.299339 0.916132 4.416942 94.152702
2025-08-03 0.035050 0.063927 0.127280 0.307348 0.990906 5.329188 177.618837
2025-08-10 0.033592 0.061985 0.125409 0.310718 1.048891 6.238888 336.951477
2025-08-17 0.032147 0.059946 0.123062 0.312186 1.100183 7.218837 681.680186
2025-08-24 0.030634 0.057633 0.119785 0.310090 1.134611 8.136888 1415.688316
2025-08-31 0.029078 0.055107 0.115715 0.304666 1.150837 8.922075 2983.984717
2025-09-07 0.028330 0.054318 0.115953 0.313801 1.249430 11.078190 17804.578441